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NFL Week 9 | November 5–9, 2026

All times Eastern. Odds are from bet365 November 3, 2026 (FOX Sports), displayed from the home team's perspective; prices may have changed. Cincinnati–Atlanta is played in Madrid, with Atlanta designated home.

Injury information is current through November 4; practice limitations are not final game designations. Historical trends are supporting context, not automatic wagers.

Bye Week Teams

Pittsburgh Steelers

Tennessee Titans

Thursday, November 5 — 8:15 p.m. ET

Jacksonville at Baltimore — Projection: Jacksonville 24, Baltimore 21 | Home spread: +9.5 | Total: 42.5 | Home ML: +370

Baltimore starts Joe Fagnano with Lamar Jackson and Tyler Huntley out; the pending Jacoby Brissett trade offers no help Thursday. Jacksonville can lean on its run game, although Bhayshul Tuten and Travon Walker are questionable. Baltimore’s 23–10 ATS underdog record since 2018 supports taking a look at the points, but this quarterback situation makes the historical comparison difficult. QB update · Injuries · Trend

Sunday, November 8 — 9:30 a.m. ET

Cincinnati at Atlanta — Projection: Cincinnati 27, Atlanta 22 | Home spread: +3.5 | Total: 52.5 | Home ML: +135

Joe Burrow’s six-touchdown performance meets an Atlanta offense coming off a shutout. Cincinnati has the clearer passing advantage, but Bijan Robinson offers Atlanta a way to control possessions. DJ Turner’s heel injury is a secondary concern for Cincinnati. Shutout losers are 44–24–2 ATS since 2012, giving the Falcons a bounce-back angle in Madrid rather than a conventional home-field edge. Recent form · Injuries · Trend

Sunday, November 8 — 1:00 p.m. ET

Dallas at Indianapolis — Projection: Dallas 28, Indianapolis 25 | Home spread: +5.5 | Total: 51.5 | Home ML: +215

Dallas has the offensive ceiling, but its vulnerable defense leaves Indianapolis a route to keeping this close. Jake Ferguson missed Wednesday’s practice with an ankle injury and George Pickens was limited by his hamstring. The Colts need cleaner quarterback play after Daniel Jones was benched last week. Our three-point projection makes laying more than a field goal less comfortable. Matchup · Practice report · Colts QB watch

LA Rams at Washington — Projection: LA Rams 23, Washington 27 | Home spread: +5.5 | Total: 47.5 | Home ML: +200

The Rams’ defensive front is the obstacle for Washington’s rushing attack, while Puka Nacua is the focal point against the Commanders’ coverage. Matthew Stafford’s arm needs monitoring, and Washington is missing Daron Payne. Our projection favors Washington despite the market backing Los Angeles, making Stafford’s health and Washington’s ability to protect the pocket central to this matchup. Matchup · Injury watch

Cleveland at New Orleans — Projection: Cleveland 25, New Orleans 23 | Home spread: -2.5 | Total: 43.5 | Home ML: -142

Cleveland can attack a Saints run defense ranked last in rushing efficiency and success rate allowed. Deshaun Watson is in concussion protocol, putting Shedeur Sanders in line if Watson cannot clear. New Orleans has gone Under in 17 of its last 19 games with extra rest. That trend clashes with our 48-point projection, so the quarterback decision matters more than blindly following either number. Rushing matchup · QB update · Trend

NY Jets at Kansas City — Projection: NY Jets 18, Kansas City 26 | Home spread: -9.5 | Total: 46.5 | Home ML: -490

Kansas City’s passing game gets a favorable matchup against the Jets’ coverage; New York must protect the ball and sustain drives to limit possessions. Breece Hall’s quad remains a watch. Andy Reid is 37–11 Under as a home favorite of at least seven since 2011, aligning with our 44-point projection beneath the listed total. Matchup · Hall update · Trend

Detroit at Miami — Projection: Detroit 31, Miami 25 | Home spread: +7 | Total: 50.5 | Home ML: +275

Detroit scores 29.0 points per game to Miami’s 16.7, but both defenses allow more than 25. That gives Miami a path to a competitive game if Detroit’s depleted defense cannot get stops. Jack Campbell and D.J. Reed were estimated nonparticipants Wednesday, while Brian Branch and Amon-Ra St. Brown were limited. Our six-point margin puts the full touchdown in focus. Matchup statistics · Practice report

Denver at Carolina — Projection: Denver 31, Carolina 25 | Home spread: +2.5 | Total: 43.5 | Home ML: +129

Denver’s pass defense is the tougher matchup; Carolina’s best route is Chuba Hubbard on the ground. Jaylen Waddle’s chest issue deserves monitoring after limiting his routes last week. Denver is 10–3–1 ATS over its last 14 pre-bye games, supporting our six-point projected margin. Staying below the key number of three would make the Broncos’ price more attractive. Matchup and Waddle watch · Pre-bye trend

NY Giants at Philadelphia — Projection: NY Giants 24, Philadelphia 23 | Home spread: +3.5 | Total: 39.5 | Home ML: +151

The Giants return rested, but Cam Skattebo’s hamstring threatens their rushing options. Philadelphia turns to Joe Milton with Jalen Hurts on injured reserve, adding mobility and uncertainty to an offense struggling to sustain drives. The Eagles are 14–4 ATS in pre-bye games since 2008. That supports the points in our projected one-point game, but DeVonta Smith’s hamstring remains another concern. Injury watch · Milton update · Trend

Sunday, November 8 — 4:05 p.m. ET

Houston at LA Chargers — Projection: Houston 26, LA Chargers 17 | Home spread: +4.5 | Total: 40.5 | Home ML: +180

Houston averages 5.5 yards per play against the Chargers’ 4.7, with Los Angeles last in scoring at 14.1 points per game. That offensive gap supports our nine-point projection, although Houston must turn yardage into touchdowns. David Montgomery missed Wednesday’s practice; Chargers tight end David Njoku was limited. Houston’s return from its bye adds preparation time against an offense still searching for consistency. Matchup statistics · Practice report

Sunday, November 8 — 4:25 p.m. ET

Las Vegas at San Francisco — Projection: Las Vegas 25, San Francisco 30 | Home spread: -9.5 | Total: 51.5 | Home ML: -550

San Francisco’s run defense is the toughest obstacle for Las Vegas, making Brock Bowers and the passing game important to the upset bid. Christian McCaffrey, Nick Bosa and Mike Evans remain injury watches. Fading post-bye home teams against nonconference opponents is 32–19–2 ATS since 2015. That angle fits our projection of a closer game than the market’s near-double-digit spread. Matchup · Injury watch · Post-bye trend

Green Bay at New England — Projection: Green Bay 17, New England 27 | Home spread: -2.5 | Total: 46.5 | Home ML: -154

Green Bay’s explosive passing game tests New England’s coverage, with Christian Watson’s ribs, A.J. Brown’s ankle and Hunter Henry’s foot worth watching. Our projection favors New England by ten, but Matt LaFleur is 16–4–1 ATS as a 3–7-point underdog since 2019. That trend only qualifies if Green Bay reaches +3; the listed +2.5 falls outside the range. Matchup · Injury watch · Trend

Arizona at Seattle — Projection: Arizona 24, Seattle 25 | Home spread: -10.5 | Total: 43.5 | Home ML: -650

Seattle has won ten straight against Arizona, covering nine, but Sam Darnold’s quad injury changes the setup. Drew Lock is expected to start despite an elbow issue; he threw three touchdowns against Arizona in Week 2. Gardner Minshew now leads the Cardinals. Seattle’s defensive advantage remains, but our one-point projection and the quarterback change make a double-digit price demanding. Series trend · Quarterback update

Sunday, November 8 — 8:20 p.m. ET

Tampa Bay at Chicago — Projection: Tampa Bay 22, Chicago 21 | Home spread: -6.5 | Total: 46.5 | Home ML: -280

Tampa Bay’s defense tests a Chicago offense that just handled Seattle, while the Bucs need Bucky Irving to keep them out of obvious passing downs. Emeka Egbuka’s foot and Yaya Diaby’s knee remain concerns. Chicago is 11–7 ATS in its last 18 pre-bye games, but Tampa Bay has covered four straight before its bye. Those competing trends leave our narrow Bucs projection and the points in focus. Matchup · Injury watch · Pre-bye trends

Monday, November 9 — 8:15 p.m. ET

Buffalo at Minnesota — Projection: Buffalo 25, Minnesota 28 | Home spread: +3.5 | Total: 46.5 | Home ML: +150

James Cook’s explosive rushing is Buffalo’s route around Minnesota’s aggressive pass defense. Kyler Murray’s hamstring and Christian Darrisaw’s shoulder are the key Vikings watches, with DJ Moore’s knee relevant for Buffalo. Nonconference Monday-night home teams are 21–42–2 ATS over the cited 65-game sample. That favors Buffalo historically, while our projection favors Minnesota: health and the full +3.5 deserve the final say. Matchup · Injury watch · Monday trend

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