NHL Recap: Ottawa Rallies, Kempe Hat Trick & Florida’s Late Cash

Four games, a Kempe hat trick, and an overtime bounce that went Seattle’s way. Los Angeles rewarded overwhelming moneyline support, Florida survived Chicago’s late push, and Ottawa spoiled Buffalo’s night with a third-period comeback. Here’s what decided Wednesday’s NHL results, and where the market got it right.

Adrian Kempe returned with three goals and an assist, Quinton Byfield scored twice, and Artemi Panarin supplied four assists. Los Angeles buried San Jose early and never gave the Sharks a way back.

The market nailed this one. Los Angeles commanded 99% of moneyline handle on 82% of tickets. The price eased from −166 to −155, but that drift toward San Jose went nowhere. The Sharks’ +1.5 attracted 71% of puck-line handle; Kempe made that position uncomfortable in a hurry.

Sandis Vilmanis produced two goals and two assists as Florida defeated Chicago. Frank Nazar scored twice during Chicago’s third-period push, but Sam Reinhart’s empty-netter ended the threat with 1:27 remaining.

Florida opened at −250 and held there, backed by 87% of moneyline handle. The stronger concentration was on the puck line: 98% of the money on 65% of tickets. Reinhart’s finish was the play those bettors needed after Chicago cut the lead to one. The heavy favorite delivered, but the late sweat was real.

Buffalo carried Peyton Krebs’ second-period goal into the third, then Ottawa flipped the game. Shane Pinto tied it before Michael Amadio struck with 3:09 remaining. Two unanswered goals sent the Senators home with the win.

Buffalo held 63% of moneyline handle, yet its price weakened from −148 to −130. That movement against the higher-handle side pointed toward Ottawa, and the result followed. Ottawa also held 63% of puck-line handle. Buffalo’s backers had the lead; Ottawa owned the finish.

Yegor Sharangovich gave Calgary the early lead, Berkly Catton tied it in the second, and neither side scored in the third. Matty Beniers settled it on a breakaway 55 seconds into overtime.

We wanted Calgary’s improving third-period play to exploit Seattle’s recent defensive problems. Instead, the Kraken tightened up. Calgary couldn’t build on its early offense, and Seattle won the puck battle that created the overtime turnover. To our eyes, Calgary looked content with the point. Seattle went and took the second.

Seattle drew 81% of moneyline handle while easing from −166 to −135—a 31-cent move toward Calgary. We took the Flames at +114. We liked the price; we didn’t get the finish. Seattle’s −1.5 drew 93% of puck-line money on just 22% of tickets, while the over attracted 76% of total handle on 92% of tickets. The overtime winner rescued Seattle’s moneyline backers, but neither of those heavily supported positions delivered.

Moneyline support and line movement told different stories. Los Angeles brushed aside the price drift and rewarded its backers. Ottawa validated the move against Buffalo. Calgary’s stronger market move couldn’t produce the extra goal we needed.

Florida’s empty-net finish and Seattle’s scoreless third were the moments that mattered beyond the final score. One rewarded concentrated puck-line money; the other shut down both Calgary’s late-game angle and a heavily backed over. Follow the game, follow the money, and own the result.

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