UFC Preview: Cortes-Acosta vs. Walker — All 14 Fights

Saturday, November 7, 2026 • Meta APEX, Las Vegas • Prelims 5 p.m. ET; main card 8 p.m. ET.

Waldo Cortes-Acosta has the line movement, public backing, and money behind him against Johnny Walker. Elsewhere, the public and the money disagree on three matchups: Parsons–Souza, Silva–Fernandes, and Bashi–Calderon. Tonight’s UFC preview breaks down all 14 fights through recent form, striking power, volume, exploitable weaknesses, and paths to victory.

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Cortes-Acosta −230 | Walker +190

Last three: Cortes-Acosta lost unanimous decisions to Curtis Blaydes and Alexander Volkov after stopping Derrick Lewis in the second round. Walker knocked out Mick Parkin in his heavyweight debut, lost a split decision to Dominick Reyes, and stopped Zhang Mingyang. Walker has fresh momentum at heavyweight; Waldo is looking to rebound after consecutive defeats against established contenders.

Cortes-Acosta is the busier conventional boxer. Walker brings the more varied explosive attack through long kicks, knees, and sudden entries. Both carry knockout power; there is no clean basis to declare one the harder puncher. Waldo’s advantage is sustained boxing pressure, while Walker threatens with sudden attacks from unexpected angles.

Cortes-Acosta can capitalize when Walker attacks without a safe exit, answering with compact combinations. Walker needs to interrupt the boxing rhythm with kicks, movement, and changes of range. Waldo’s route is accumulated damage and pressure; Walker’s is a damaging interception or explosive finishing sequence before Waldo settles into his rhythm.

Market read: The line movement favors Cortes-Acosta, and he leads both public tickets and money. The market is aligned behind Waldo, but Walker remains a dangerous finishing threat.

Suarez −198 | Jandiroba +164

Last three: Suarez submitted Loopy Godinez, beat Amanda Lemos by unanimous decision, and lost a decision to Zhang Weili. Jandiroba beat Tabatha Ricci, lost her title fight to Mackenzie Dern, and defeated Yan Xiaonan—all by unanimous decision. Both have responded to championship defeats with wins.

Suarez has higher recorded striking activity and the stronger wrestling offense. Neither has established a clear knockout-power advantage in this matchup. Suarez creates damage through top-position strikes; Jandiroba’s most dangerous offense comes through submissions and transitions.

Suarez must establish control before opening up with ground strikes. Jandiroba can attack during entries and scrambles, when positions are less secure. Suarez’s route is repeated takedowns and disciplined top offense. Jandiroba needs reversals, submission threats, and stretches of top control that prevent Suarez from dictating the fight.

Market read: Suarez leads tickets and narrowly leads money. Jandiroba’s share of handle is considerably larger than her share of tickets. Suarez retains overall support, with meaningful financial backing also on the underdog.

Grant +260 | Smith −325

Last three: Grant beat Adrián Luna Martinetti, lost by submission to Charles Jourdain, and defeated Da’Mon Blackshear. Smith submitted SuYoung You, knocked out Toshiomi Kazama, and beat Vince Morales by decision. Smith has added finishes after winning his UFC debut on the cards.

Grant is the higher-volume striker and more experienced combination puncher. Smith brings explosive wrestling, demonstrated by his slam knockout, but that does not establish a punching-power advantage. Grant has the clearer sustained boxing game; Smith can change the fight with his entries and physical explosiveness.

Grant needs to defend the initial wrestling attacks and make Smith work through sustained striking exchanges. Smith can exploit Grant’s submission vulnerability by joining punches to takedowns and back-taking opportunities. Grant’s route is a pressure-driven decision or accumulated striking damage; Smith’s is mixing levels and forcing Grant to defend wrestling and strikes together.

Market read: Smith leads both public tickets and money, with the two shares aligned. Grant is the minority side in both measures.

Elekana +270 | Fernando −340

Last three: Elekana submitted Junior Tafa and Kevin Christian after beating Ibo Aslan by decision. Fernando stopped Rafael Tobias, Leon Soares, and Phillip Latu. Both enter with three consecutive wins, earned through distinctly different routes.

Fernando has the stronger recent knockout record, longer reach, and higher recorded striking output. His recent results support the clearer power-finishing threat, although his UFC sample remains small. Elekana’s consecutive rear-naked chokes make back-taking his most established finishing route.

Elekana needs to crowd the longer striker, connect exchanges to clinches, and force defensive grappling. Fernando should punish entries while preserving enough distance to avoid being tied up. Fernando’s route is layered striking and accumulated damage. Elekana’s is a scramble, back control, and a submission.

Market read: Fernando leads both tickets and money. Elekana draws a considerably stronger share of handle than tickets, showing more substantial underdog wagering than his public popularity suggests. The favorite still leads the money overall.

Cachoeira +390 | Milošević −520

Last three: Cachoeira lost to Chelsea Chandler by submission, Klaudia Sygula by decision, and Joselyn Edwards by knockout. Milošević stopped Hailey Cowan, beat Dina Osman by decision, and stopped Desi Rahayu. Only the Cowan victory came inside the UFC.

Cachoeira has established knockout power but absorbs substantial punishment while advancing. Milošević posted higher striking activity in her brief UFC debut and has stopped two of her last three opponents. Both can finish with strikes; Milošević’s short UFC sample does not yet establish a sustained volume or power advantage against comparable opposition.

Milošević can attack Cachoeira’s exposed defense with combinations and exit before the return. Cachoeira needs to close distance, disrupt her opponent’s composure, and land something consequential. Milošević’s route is cleaner offense or a grappling transition. Cachoeira’s is making the fight chaotic enough for her power to matter.

Market read: Milošević leads public tickets and money. Cachoeira nevertheless attracts a more substantial share of money than tickets. The favorite has market support, but the underdog has more financial backing than her popularity alone would indicate.

Raposo +200 | Degli −245

Last three: Raposo beat Allan Nascimento by split decision and Azat Maksum unanimously after losing a split decision to Sumudaerji. Degli submitted Paris Moran and knocked out Luis Aguiar and Matheus Severino. Raposo’s recent wins reached the cards; Degli has finished through both striking and submissions.

Degli has the stronger recent knockout-finishing record, with two knockouts before his DWCS submission win. His recorded striking output is only marginally higher than Raposo’s and comes from a much smaller sample. The clearer difference is finishing threat, while Raposo has more experience managing competitive UFC rounds.

Raposo can exploit an overeager debutant by making him reset, defending early attacks, and winning sustained positional exchanges. Degli can capitalize on Raposo’s limited striking output with visible damage, then threaten submissions when Raposo wrestles. Raposo’s route is a controlled decision; Degli’s is breaking that rhythm and creating a finish.

Market read: Degli leads tickets and money. Raposo’s share of handle is stronger than his ticket support, so there is underdog resistance beneath the favorite’s public popularity. Degli remains the overall money-backed fighter.

Nakamura −375 | Schmid +295

Last three: Nakamura stopped Sebastian Szalay, beat Kaiwen Li by decision, and stopped Eoh Jin Park during his Road to UFC run. Schmid lost by first-round TKO to Marwan Rahiki after first-round knockouts of Jeff Mesa and Ford Gerbes.

Nakamura has the stronger sustained striking sample and higher recorded output across his Road to UFC appearances. Both carry knockout power: Schmid’s spinning-backfist finish shows his sudden threat, but his brief UFC appearance leaves sustained volume unproven. Nakamura has more evidence of maintaining offense beyond the opening round.

Nakamura needs structured pressure without presenting an easy counter target. Schmid needs to interrupt entries with straight shots or a sudden counter. Nakamura’s route is sustained striking and a finish as defensive mistakes accumulate; Schmid’s is landing the cleaner fight-changing shot before that pressure builds.

Market read: Nakamura leads public tickets and narrowly leads money. Schmid’s financial backing is far stronger than his ticket count suggests. The underdog is getting meaningful money, although Nakamura remains the handle leader.

Lorenço +140 | Petersen −166

Last three: Lorenço stopped Charlie Cleveland and Bruno de Jesus after submitting William Magalhães. All three ended in the first round. Petersen lost by submission to Valter Walker, beat Guilherme Pat by decision, and lost by stoppage to Vitor Petrino.

Lorenço has the stronger recent early-finishing threat, with three consecutive first-round finishes. His displayed striking pace comes from a brief DWCS appearance, so it cannot establish a reliable three-round volume advantage. Petersen’s clearest strength is wrestling and his experience extending UFC fights.

Petersen can test Lorenço’s unproven longer-fight game through repeated takedowns and work from top position. Lorenço can punish entries and attack Petersen’s recent vulnerability to strikes. Petersen’s route is wrestling and extending the fight. Lorenço’s is early damage that prevents Petersen from establishing control.

Market read: Petersen is the favorite, but Lorenço leads both tickets and money. Lorenço’s handle share is larger than his ticket share. Lorenço is the public’s dog.

Silva −225 | Fernandes +185

Last three: Silva lost decisions to Jasmine Jasudavicius and Maycee Barber after beating Dione Barbosa. Fernandes was knocked out by Casey O’Neill after beating Julija Stoliarenko by decision and submitting Wang Cong.

Fernandes is the higher-volume striker. Silva has more career knockout wins, but differing opposition and fight totals prevent that count from establishing a clear power advantage. Silva’s more dependable separation is her takedown and submission activity; Fernandes can produce more offense while the fight stays standing.

Silva needs to close distance behind strikes and attack during transitions. Fernandes must punish those entries and avoid allowing every exchange to become prolonged grappling. Silva’s route is a submission or meaningful top-position offense. Fernandes’ is sustained standing activity, with opportunistic grappling when the opening is favorable.

Market read: The public backs Silva, but the money backs Fernandes. The favorite leads ticket count while the underdog leads total handle.

Delano −118 | Magomedov −102

Last three: Delano beat Robert Ruchała and Manuel Exposito by unanimous decision after knocking out Abu-Muslim Alikhanov. Magomedov submitted Melsik Baghdasaryan, stopped Brahyam Zurcher, and knocked out Claudeci Brito de Sousa.

Delano is the higher-volume striker in the available measured sample. Magomedov has the stronger recent striking-finishing record and combines that threat with submissions. Neither sample establishes who hits harder against comparable opposition. Delano’s sustained combinations meet Magomedov’s explosive attacks and rapid changes of phase.

Delano can capitalize if Magomedov charges into extended exchanges without securing a takedown. Magomedov can change levels beneath Delano’s combinations and force scrambles. Delano’s route is distance management and repeated clean combinations; Magomedov’s is damaging offense followed by a submission opportunity when Delano reacts.

Market read: Delano is the slight favorite, but Magomedov leads both tickets and money. The money backing is especially pronounced. Price and betting support point in different directions: Delano remains marginally favored while bettors concentrate their support on Magomedov.

Bashi −700 | Calderon +500

Last three: Bashi lost a decision to José Delgado, submitted John Yannis, and lost a decision to Christian Rodriguez. Calderon beat Lorram Esteves over five rounds, submitted Damon Jackson in the fourth, and submitted Justice Torres in the first.

Bashi’s clearest strength is sustained wrestling offense. Calderon has higher striking output in his measured DWCS sample, although that single appearance does not establish a dependable volume advantage. Neither has a clear knockout-power edge; their recent finishing routes center on submissions.

Bashi can exploit the four-day replacement by setting a demanding wrestling pace. Calderon can attack the neck during entries and make top control dangerous rather than accepting a purely defensive role. Bashi’s route is disciplined positional advancement. Calderon’s is punishing a careless wrestling exchange with a submission.

Market read: The public backs Bashi, but Calderon narrowly leads the money. A heavily favored wrestler is facing a replacement who has recent submission wins over experienced opposition. The price is lopsided; the financial support is not.

Kondratavičius −325 | Petroski +260

Last three: Kondratavičius beat Antonio Trócoli by decision after stopping Đani Barbir and Michael Tchamou in the first round. Petroski lost by stoppage to Cody Brundage and Cam Rowston after a decision defeat to Edmen Shahbazyan.

Kondratavičius has the stronger recent knockout record and higher recorded striking activity, supporting the clearer power and volume threat on the feet. His measured sample is much smaller than Petroski’s. Petroski’s most established offense comes through wrestling, top control, and submissions.

Kondratavičius can make every entry costly against an opponent with recent striking vulnerability. Petroski must prevent a prolonged standing exchange by securing takedowns and working from top position. Kondratavičius’ route is damage during entries and separations; Petroski’s is forcing the younger fighter to spend energy escaping.

Market read: Kondratavičius has overwhelming backing from both tickets and money. Petroski is the clear minority side in both measures.

Ko −675 | Turman +490

Last three: Ko lost a unanimous decision to Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani after decision wins over Phil Rowe and Oban Elliott. Turman’s last three verified UFC appearances were a submission loss to Jared Gooden and decision defeats to Randy Brown and Andre Petroski.

Their recorded striking output is similar, with Turman marginally higher, but Ko absorbs considerably less punishment. Ko has no UFC knockout wins, so his advantage is efficiency and wrestling pressure rather than demonstrated UFC knockout power. Turman’s more established finishing route is submission.

Ko can combine compact striking with takedowns, but must preserve position rather than rush his offense. Turman can attack the neck or capitalize when Ko leaves space during transitions. Ko’s route is disciplined pressure across three rounds. Turman’s is turning one grappling exchange into a finish.

Market read: Ko leads tickets and money, although his public support is much stronger than his handle advantage. Turman receives meaningful underdog money. The favorite retains overall support, but the financial split is much more competitive than the price alone suggests.

Parsons +185 | Souza −225

Last three: Parsons stopped Danny Roberts, beat Solomon Renfro by split decision on DWCS, and stopped Ricardo Chavez. Souza beat Ding Meng by split decision after stopping Porfirio Alves and defeating Alexandre Silva by majority decision. Parsons last competed in July 2023.

Parsons has the stronger career knockout record and slightly higher output in the combined measured sample. Souza also has knockout wins, so the records do not establish a decisive difference in punching power. Parsons brings pressure and combinations; Souza brings youth and substantial reported length.

Parsons can capitalize if Souza retreats in straight lines or stays available after long attacks. Souza can make Parsons reset behind jabs, kicks, and knees. Parsons’ route is cutting off the cage and landing damaging combinations. Souza’s is controlling distance and making the returning veteran work before reaching punching range.

Market read: The public backs Souza, but the money backs Parsons. The favorite leads ticket count while the underdog leads total handle.

Parsons, Fernandes, and Calderon lead handle while their opponents lead tickets. Lorenço and Magomedov draw both forms of support despite Petersen and Delano holding the favorite prices. Suarez, Fernando, Nakamura, and Ko lead money overall, but their opponents attract more substantial financial backing than their ticket popularity suggests.

These distinctions help frame the matchup. They do not replace it. A submission threat matters against a wrestler who exposes his neck; a powerful underdog matters when the favorite repeatedly accepts clean exchanges. The question is whether the supported fighter can create that opportunity.

Does Cortes-Acosta’s favorable line movement continue? Do the money-backed underdogs Parsons, Fernandes, and Calderon attract shorter prices? Does Magomedov move past Delano into the favorite position, and does Lorenço’s support close the gap with Petersen? Those are the market developments to watch alongside the fight itself.

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